Number of Democratic Seats in House of Representatives
Pennsylvania was typical of those states where Republicans benefited in 2012 from the decennial redrawing of congressional commune lines. Autonomous candidates drew more than than half of the total votes cast statewide for the U.S. House last autumn, but Republicans won near three–quarters (thirteen of eighteen) of Pennsylvania's congressional seats. The GOP–controlled state regime approved a map that packed Democratic votes into the five districts that they carried, where the party's candidates posted winning percentages ranging from 60% to 89% of the full vote. Meanwhile, the Republican vote was spread more broadly, with nine of the GOP winners drawing less than threescore% of the vote in their districts.
Source: Rhodes–Melt Letter of the alphabet, February. 2013
How to: This table shows the GOP and Democratic victories in Pennsylvania by how much of the vote the winning candidates won. Vote percentages are based on total votes bandage.
Utilize the Race Competitiveness tool to look at House winners with various vote ranges from 1968 to 2010. Y'all can also choose other offices.
Document Outline
Republicans Win Fewer Votes, but More than Seats than Democrats
Republicans Win Fewer Votes, but More Seats than Democrats
Republicans controlled the post–2010 redistricting process in the iv states, and drew new lines that helped the GOP win the bulk of the House delegation in each. Republicans captured xiii of xviii seats in Pennsylvania, 12 of 16 in Ohio, nine of 14 in Michigan, and five of eight in Wisconsin. Added together, that was 39 seats for the Republicans and 17 seats for the Democrats in the four pro–Obama states.
The central to GOP congressional success was to cluster the Autonomous vote into a handful of districts, while spreading out the Republican vote elsewhere. In Pennsylvania, for example, Republicans won 9 of their xiii House seats with less than 60% of the vote, while Democrats carried three of their v with more than 75%.
1 of the latter was the Philadelphia–based second District, where 356,386 votes for Congress were tallied. Not just was it the highest number of ballots cast in whatsoever district in the state, only Democratic Rep. Chaka Fattah won 318,176 of the votes. It was the largest number received by whatsoever House candidate in the country in 2012, Democrat or Republican. If some of these Democratic votes had been "unclustered" and distributed to other districts nearby, the party might have won a couple more seats in the Philadelphia area lonely.
As it was, Democrats scored a moral victory of sorts by winning the amass nationwide House vote past nearly 1.4 million. Commonly, it is a number that does not take much currency, a affair of interest only to academics and political mavens. But in 2012, the Democrats' "pop vote" victory in the House balloting helped to undermine the contention of congressional Republicans their bulk was equally much a mandate every bit President Obama's 5–million vote, 26– state, 332–electoral vote reelection victory.
The challenge now for Firm Democrats is to turn moral victories into actual triumphs. It volition not be easy. The Republicans head toward 2022 offering picayune in the mode of "low hanging fruit." Merely xv House Republicans are in hostile terrain, representing districts that besides voted for Obama last fall. And few GOP representatives give the appearance of electoral weakness, as just a dozen were elected in 2012 by a margin of less than v percentage points.
The list includes erstwhile Republican presidential candidate, Michele Bachmann, who won reelection in her Minnesota district terminal autumn by a margin of barely 1 percentage point. It was her narrowest congressional victory since she start won the seat in 2006. But few other Republican winners in 2012 were so hard pressed as Bachmann. Democrats would need a strong wind at their dorsum to score a quantum in the House anytime soon, an unlikely occurrence for the party of the president in a midterm election. More probable, little will happen in 2022 to disturb the Republicans' title equally "the congressional party."
If Democrats in 2022 could simply win the dozen House seats that they lost concluding fall by a margin of less than v percent points, they would be on the verge of a House majority. On the other mitt, the GOP has enough of targets of their own, with Democrats holding 17 House seats that they carried in 2012 past less than v points.
The Closest Business firm Races of 2012
NARROW Democratic WINNERS
| Winner | Winner's Condition in '12 | % of Vote | Victory Margin (in % points) | |
| Mike McIntyre | (D-N.C. vii) | Incumbent | 50.i% | 0.two% |
| Jim Matheson | (D-Utah iv) | Incumbent | 48.eight% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Murphy | (D-Fla. eighteen) | Challenger | l.3% | 0.half-dozen% |
| Ron Hairdresser | (D-Ariz. ii) | Incumbent | 50.4% | 0.8% |
| Brad Schneider | (D-Ill. x) | Challenger | fifty.6% | one.2% |
| John Tierney | (D-Mass. six) | Incumbent | 48.3% | 1.2% |
| Bill Owens | (D-N.Y. 21) | Incumbent | 50.1% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Esty | (D-Conn. v) | Open Seat | 51.3% | 2.6% |
| Ami Bera | (D-Calif. 7) | Challenger | 51.vii% | 3.4% |
| Scott Peters | (D-Calif. 52) | Challenger | 51.2% | three.iv% |
| Ann Kirkpatrick | (D-Ariz. 1) | Open Seat | 48.8% | three.seven% |
| Carol Shea-Porter | (D-N.H. 1) | Challenger | 49.viii% | 3.8% |
| Sean Maloney | (D-N.Y. 18) | Challenger | 51.9% | 3.9% |
| Krysten Sinema | (D-Ariz. ix) | Open Seat | 48.7% | 4.1% |
| Pete Gallego | (D-Texas 23) | Challenger | 50.3% | 4.seven% |
| Ann Kuster | (D-N.H. 2) | Challenger | l.2% | 4.9% |
| Tim Bishop | (D-N.Y. 1) | Incumbent | 52.four% | 4.9% |
| Source: Based on official results posted on the web sites of state election authorities. | ||||
NARROW REPUBLICAN WINNERS
| Winner | Winner's Status in '12 | % of Vote | Victory Margin (in % points) | |
| Rodney Davis | (R-Sick. xiii) | Open Seat | 46.5% | 0.iii% |
| Dan Benishek | (R-Mich. i) | Incumbent | 48.1% | 0.5% |
| Michele Bachmann | (R-Minn. half dozen) | Incumbent | l.five% | 1.ii% |
| Jackie Walorski | (R-Ind. 2) | Open Seat | 49.0% | 1.iv% |
| Lee Terry | (R-Neb. ii) | Incumbent | 50.8% | ane.half-dozen% |
| Chris Collins | (R-North.Y. 27) | Challenger | 50.viii% | i.6% |
| Mike Coffman | (R-Colo. 6) | Incumbent | 47.viii% | ii.0% |
| Daniel Webster | (R-Fla. 10) | Incumbent | 51.7% | 3.4% |
| Keith Rothfus | (R-Pa. 12) | Challenger | 51.7% | 3.iv% |
| Thomas Reed | (R-N.Y. 23) | Incumbent | 51.ix% | 3.viii% |
| Andy Barr | (R-Ky. 6) | Challenger | 50.6 | 3.9% |
| Jim Renacci | (R-Ohio 16) | Incumbent | 52.0% | iv.0% |
| Source: Based on official results posted on the web sites of state election regime. | ||||
Document Commendation
Melt, R. (2013). Republicans win fewer votes, but more than seats than Democrats. http://library.cqpress.com/elections
Certificate ID: rcookltr-1527-84193-2523552
Document URL: http://library.cqpress.com/elections/rcookltr-1527-84193-2523552
Source: https://library.cqpress.com/elections/document.php?id=rcookltr-1527-84193-2523552
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